“We’re seeing a rollercoaster in the United States,” IHME Director Christopher Murray said in a statement. “It appears that people are wearing masks and socially distancing more frequently as infections increase, then after a while as infections drop, people let their guard down and stop taking these measures to protect themselves and others—which, of course, leads to more infections. And the potentially deadly cycle starts over again.” With infections rising the way they are, the IMHE has identified 22 states as candidates for further lockdowns in the fall. The model assumes that states will have to close non-essential businesses and reinstate stay-at-home orders once the daily death rate reaches 8 per 1 million residents. That threshold is based on data regarding when states imposed their first mandates in March and April, and assumes that many states will have to reimpose similar mandates. Based on that metric, read on to see if your state is one of the 22 that may have to shut down again in the coming months. And for more insight into which areas are in harm’s way, check out Here’s How Much COVID Cases Are Rising in Every State. November And for more insight into the virus’ spread, Here’s What Dr. Fauci Has to Say About These 11 States’ Handling of COVID. August November And for more up-to-date information delivered to your inbox, sign up for our daily newsletter. November October And if you want to know where coronavirus is surging, These Two States Are Becoming the Worst COVID Hotspots in the U.S. August September November October October August October October November October November Octoberae0fcc31ae342fd3a1346ebb1f342fcb August September November October November And if you want to protect yourself, Dr. Fauci Wants You to Avoid Doing These 9 Things Right Now.